The Debt Limit, the Stock Market, and Gold
The U.S. stock market surges higher as investors refuse to look at alternatives, even as the government risks defaulting on its debt and jeopardizing the U.S. dollar.
The U.S. stock market surges higher as investors refuse to look at alternatives, even as the government risks defaulting on its debt and jeopardizing the U.S. dollar.
Gold needs a catalyst to jump out of the $1,800 zone, and U.S. dollar weakness might be the answer.
As the gold market approaches a period of seasonal strength, investors will be watching for a higher high.
The recent plunge and subsequent rebound have extended gold’s bearish correction phase in the middle of a long-term bull market.
Gold has been stuck in a $40 trading range for over a month, building a base around the $1,800 level and looking toward higher highs.
Gold took a $35 jump after struggling to escape the $1,800 range, alongside strength in equities and cryptocurrency markets.
Bullish stock market sentiment and unexpected U.S. Dollar strength are putting pressure on gold, while increased volatility in the equities and bond markets support safe haven demand for the yellow metal.
The fallout from COVID-19 may be reversing the long-term trend of low inflation, which has dominated the U.S. economy for decades.
As inflation metrics continue to break records, the U.S. dollar could be reaching a breaking point.
In both the stock market and the precious metals markets, investors face a paralyzing collection of bearish and bullish evidence. Everyone is looking for the asset that will emerge as the winner in this new era of finance.